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Title Iran's nuclear future : critical U.S. policy choices / Lynn E. Davis [and others].

Publication Info. Santa Monica, CA : RAND, 2011.

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Description 1 online resource (xxv, 125 pages) : illustrations, color maps (digital, PDF file).
Series RAND Corporation monograph series ; MG1087
Rand Corporation monograph series ; MG1087.
Bibliography Includes bibliographical references (pages 113-125).
Summary As Iran's nuclear program continues to evolve, U.S. decisionmakers will confront a series of critical policy choices involving complex considerations and policy trade-offs. These policy choices could include dissuading Iran from developing nuclear weapons and deterring Iran from using its nuclear weapons, if it were to acquire them. To be successful, the United States will need to find ways to influence Iran's calculations of costs and benefits as Iran pursues its national security interests (survival of the regime, protection of the homeland, and expansion of its regional influence). The United States will also need to reassure its partners in the region of the credibility of the U.S. deterrent posture so as to reduce the Gulf Cooperation Council states' potential interest in developing their own nuclear weapons and dissuade Israel from pursuing unilateral military actions or openly declaring its nuclear posture. The U.S. Air Force, supporting combatant commanders, will play a prominent role in implementing the policy choices, and so it needs to prepare by understanding the goals and timelines of potential military tasks and by designing exercises and war games to support different policy choices.
Funding The research described in this report was sponsored by the United States Air Force under Contract FA7014-06-C-0001.
Note Print version record.
Contents Introduction -- Influencing Iran -- Dissuading Iran from Nuclear Weaponization -- Deterring a Nuclear-Armed Iran -- Reassuring U.S. Regional Partners -- Approaches to Influencing Iran -- Air Force Contributions and Preparing for the Future -- Appendix A: Context for U.S. Reassurance Strategies: GCC -- Appendix B: Context for U.S. Reassurance Strategies: Israel.
Subject Nuclear weapons -- Iran.
Nuclear arms control -- Iran.
United States -- Military policy.
United States -- Foreign relations -- Iran.
Iran -- Foreign relations -- United States.
Iran -- Strategic aspects.
HISTORY -- Military -- Nuclear Warfare.
POLITICAL SCIENCE -- International Relations -- Arms Control.
Diplomatic relations. (OCoLC)fst01907412
Military policy. (OCoLC)fst01021386
Nuclear arms control. (OCoLC)fst01039881
Nuclear weapons. (OCoLC)fst01040971
Strategic aspects of individual places. (OCoLC)fst01355062
Iran. (OCoLC)fst01204889
United States. (OCoLC)fst01204155
Iran -- nuclear strategy.
United States -- foreign policy -- Iran.
Added Author Davis, Lynn E. (Lynn Etheridge), 1943-
Project Air Force (U.S.)
Rand Corporation.
Added Title Critical U.S. policy choices
Other Form: Print version: Iran's nuclear future. Santa Monica, CA : RAND, 2011 9780833051752 (DLC) 2011019052 (OCoLC)723142726
ISBN 9780833053084 (electronic bk.)
0833053086 (electronic bk.)
9780833051752 (paperback;) (alk. paper)
083305175X (paperback;) (alk. paper)
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