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LEADER 00000cam  2200529Ii 4500 
001    ocn843753276 
003    OCoLC 
005    20170927055420.7 
006    m     o  d         
007    cr cnu---unuuu 
008    130520t20132013cau     ob    000 0 eng d 
020    9780833080707|q(electronic bk.) 
020    0833080709|q(electronic bk.) 
035    (OCoLC)843753276 
037    22573/ctt4cxhj3|bJSTOR 
040    AWC|beng|erda|epn|cAWC|dKLG|dB24X7|dN$T|dAAU|dJSTOR|dOCLCO
       |dYDXCP|dOCLCQ|dOCLCA|dCUS|dOCLCA 
043    a-ir--- 
049    CKEA 
050  4 U264.5.K7|b.N384 2013 
082 04 355.0217095491|223 
100 1  Nader, Alireza. 
245 10 Iran after the bomb :|bhow would a nuclear-armed Tehran 
       behave? /|cAlireza Nader. 
264  1 Santa Monica, CA :|bRAND Corporation,|c2013. 
264  4 |c©2013 
300    1 online resource (ix, 40 pages) 
336    text|btxt|2rdacontent 
337    computer|bc|2rdamedia 
338    online resource|bcr|2rdacarrier 
347    text file|bPDF|2rda 
500    "National Security Research Division." 
504    Includes bibliographical references (pages 35-40). 
505 0  Introduction -- The Islamic Republic : a revisionist yet 
       restrained power -- Possible motivations for nuclear 
       weapons -- Nuclear weapons and internal instability -- 
       Nuclear Iran and the Persian Gulf -- Revolutionary 
       animosity and neighborly relations -- Limited ability to 
       subvert the GCC -- Iran's military strategy and 
       capabilities in the Persian Gulf -- Would a nuclear Iran 
       close the Strait of Hormuz? -- Nuclear Iran and Israel -- 
       An ideological, but not self-destructive, hatred of Israel
       -- Irrationality, command and control, and rogue actions -
       - Nuclear Iran and terrorism -- Iran's motives for 
       supporting terrorism -- Extended nuclear deterrence -- 
       Conclusion and findings. 
520    This report explores how a nuclear-armed Iran would behave,
       if it would act aggressively, and what this would entail 
       for the United States and its main regional allies, 
       including the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) and Israel. 
       The Islamic Republic seeks to undermine what it perceives 
       to be the American-dominated order in the Middle East and 
       to deter a U.S. and/or Israeli military attack, but it 
       does not have territorial ambitions and does not seek to 
       invade, conquer, or occupy other nations. Nuclear arms are
       unlikely to change its fundamental interests and 
       strategies. Rather, they would probably reinforce Iran's 
       traditional national security objectives. The ideological 
       beliefs of the Iranian political elite will not shape the 
       country's nuclear decisionmaking. The regional 
       geopolitical environment and Iran's political, military, 
       and economic capabilities will have a greater bearing on 
       Iranian calculations. It is very unlikely that Iran would 
       use nuclear weapons against another Muslim state or 
       against Israel, given the latter's overwhelming 
       conventional and nuclear military superiority. Further, 
       the Iranian government does not use terrorism for 
       ideological reasons. Instead, Iran's support for terrorism
       is motivated by cost and benefit calculations, with the 
       aims of maintaining deterrence and preserving or expanding
       its influence in the Middle East. An inadvertent or 
       accidental nuclear exchange between Israel and Iran is a 
       dangerous possibility, but there is not much evidence to 
       suggest that rogue elements could have easy access to 
       Iranian nuclear weapons. 
588 0  Online resource; title from PDF title page (RAND, viewed 
       May 20, 2013). 
650  0 Nuclear weapons|zIran|xForecasting. 
650  0 Nuclear weapons|xGovernment policy|zIran|xForecasting. 
650  7 HISTORY|xMilitary|xOther.|2bisacsh 
650  7 TECHNOLOGY & ENGINEERING|xMilitary Science.|2bisacsh 
650  7 HISTORY|zMiddle East|xGeneral.|2bisacsh 
651  0 Iran|xForeign relations|xForecasting. 
651  0 Iran|xPolitics and government|xForecasting. 
710 2  Rand Corporation.|bNational Security Research Division. 
914    ocn843753276 
994    92|bCKE 
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