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Book Cover
Author Hunt, Priscillia, author.

Title Evaluation of the Shreveport predictive policing experiment / Priscillia Hunt, Jessica Saunders, John S. Hollywood.

Publication Info. Santa Monica, Calif : RAND Corporation, [2014]


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Description 1 online resource (xxi, 62 pages) : graphs, plans (some color)
Note "RAND Corporation research report series."
"RR-531-NIJ."--Page 4 of cover.
"The research described in this report was sponsored by the National Institute of Justice and was conducted in the Safety and Justice Program within RAND Justice, Infrastructure, and Environment."--Title page verso.
Funding "This project was supported ... by the National Institute of Justice, Office of Justice Programs, U.S. Department of Justice."--Verso of title page." ... by Award No. 2009-IJ-CX-K114."
Bibliography Includes bibliographical references (pages 61-62).
Summary "Even though there is a growing interest in predictive policing, to date there have been few, if any, formal evaluations of these programs. This report documents an assessment of a predictive policing effort in Shreveport, Louisiana, in 2012, which was conducted to evaluate the crime reduction effects of policing guided by statistical predictions. RAND researchers led multiple interviews and focus groups with the Shreveport Police Department throughout the course of the trial to document the implementation of the statistical predictive and prevention models. In addition to a basic assessment of the process, the report shows the crime impacts and costs directly attributable to the strategy. It is hoped that this will provide a fuller picture for police departments considering if and how a predictive policing strategy should be adopted. There was no statistically significant change in property crime in the experimental districts that applied the predictive models compared with the control districts; therefore, overall, the intervention was deemed to have no effect. There are both statistical and substantive possibilities to explain this null effect. In addition, it is likely that the predictive policing program did not cost any more than the status quo."--"Abstract" on web page.
Note Online resource; title from PDF title page (RAND, viewed August 06, 2014).
Contents Introduction -- PILOT Process Evaluation -- PILOT Impact Evaluation -- PILOT Cost Evaluation -- Conclusions -- Appendix: Technical Details.
Subject Crime prevention -- Louisiana -- Shreveport.
Offenses against property -- Prevention.
Law enforcement -- Louisiana -- Shreveport.
Police administration -- Louisiana -- Shreveport -- Case studies.
Regression analysis.
Forecasting -- Statistical methods.
Social prediction -- Louisiana -- Shreveport.
MATHEMATICS -- Probability & Statistics -- Regression Analysis.
Crime prevention. (OCoLC)fst00883055
Forecasting -- Statistical methods. (OCoLC)fst00931736
Law enforcement. (OCoLC)fst00993931
Offenses against property -- Prevention. (OCoLC)fst01044013
Police administration. (OCoLC)fst01068547
Regression analysis. (OCoLC)fst01432090
Social prediction. (OCoLC)fst01122769
Louisiana -- Shreveport. (OCoLC)fst01209612
Genre/Form Case studies. (OCoLC)fst01423765
Added Author Saunders, Jessica M., 1978- author.
Hollywood, John S., 1973- author.
Rand Corporation, issuing body.
Rand Safety and Justice (Program), researcher.
National Institute of Justice (U.S.), sponsoring body.
Other Form: Print version: Hunt, Priscilla. Evaluation of the Shreveport predictive policing experiment. Santa Monica, CA : RAND Corporation, [2014] 9780833086914 (OCoLC)882601950
ISBN 9780833089908 (electronic bk.)
0833089900 (electronic bk.)
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