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050  4 UC263|b.S685 2008eb 
082 04 355.6/212|222 
245 00 Sources of weapon system cost growth :|banalysis of 35 
       major defense acquisition programs /|cJoseph G. Bolten 
       [and others]. 
264  1 Santa Monica, CA :|bRand Corporation,|c[2008] 
264  4 |c©2008 
300    1 online resource (xxv, 90 pages) :|billustrations 
336    text|btxt|2rdacontent 
337    computer|bc|2rdamedia 
338    online resource|bcr|2rdacarrier 
504    Includes bibliographical references (pages 89-90). 
505 0  Introduction -- Study approach -- Cost growth selected 
       programs -- Summary and recommendations -- Appendix A: 
       Cost growth of individual programs -- Appendix B: Weighted
       cost growth -- Appendix C: Trigger events -- Appendix D: 
       OSD guidance and definitions of the SAR cost-variance 
       categories. 
506    |3Use copy|fRestrictions unspecified|2star|5MiAaHDL 
520    Previous studies have shown that the Department of Defense
       (DoD) and the military departments have historically 
       underestimated the cost of new weapon systems. Quantifying
       cost growth is important, but the larger issue is why cost
       growth occurs. To address that issue, this analysis uses 
       data from Selected Acquisition Reports to examine 35 
       mature, but not necessarily complete, major defense 
       acquisition programs similar to the type and complexity of
       those typically managed by the Air Force. The programs are
       first examined as a complete set, then Air Force and non-
       Air Force programs are analyzed separately to determine 
       whether the causes of cost growth in the two groups 
       differ. Four major sources of cost growth were identified:
       (1) errors in estimation and scheduling, (2) decisions 
       made by the government, (3) financial matters, and (4) 
       miscellaneous sources. Total (development plus 
       procurement) cost growth, when measured as simple averages
       among the program set, is dominated by decisions, which 
       account for more than two-thirds of the growth. Most 
       decisions-related cost growth involves quantity changes 
       (22 percent), requirements growth (13 percent), and 
       schedule changes (9 percent). Cost estimation (10 percent)
       is the only large contributor in the errors category. Less
       than 4 percent of the overall cost growth is due to 
       financial and miscellaneous causes. Because decisions 
       involving changes in requirements, quantities, and 
       production schedules dominate cost growth, program 
       managers, service leadership, and Congress should look for
       ways to reduce changes in these areas. 
533    Electronic reproduction.|b[S.l.] :|cHathiTrust Digital 
       Library,|d2010.|5MiAaHDL 
538    Master and use copy. Digital master created according to 
       Benchmark for Faithful Digital Reproductions of Monographs
       and Serials, Version 1. Digital Library Federation, 
       December 2002.|uhttp://purl.oclc.org/DLF/benchrepro0212
       |5MiAaHDL 
583 1  digitized|c2010|hHathiTrust Digital Library|lcommitted to 
       preserve|2pda|5MiAaHDL 
588 0  Print version record. 
610 10 United States.|bDepartment of Defense|xProcurement|xCost 
       control. 
610 17 United States.|bDepartment of Defense.|2fast
       |0(OCoLC)fst01852447 
650  7 TECHNOLOGY & ENGINEERING|xMilitary Science.|2bisacsh 
650  7 HISTORY|xMilitary|xOther.|2bisacsh 
650  7 Armed Forces|xProcurement|xCost control.|2fast
       |0(OCoLC)fst01351861 
650  7 Armed Forces|xWeapons systems|xCosts.|2fast
       |0(OCoLC)fst01351921 
651  0 United States|xArmed Forces|xWeapons systems|xCosts. 
651  7 United States.|2fast|0(OCoLC)fst01204155 
700 1  Bolten, J. G.|q(Joseph George),|d1944- 
776 08 |iPrint version:|tSources of weapon system cost growth.
       |dSanta Monica, CA : Rand Corp., ©2008|z9780833042897
       |z0833042890|w(DLC)  2008006970|w(OCoLC)192109807 
914    ocn259716079 
994    92|bCKE 
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