Description |
534 pages : illustrations ; 25 cm |
Bibliography |
Includes bibliographical references (pages 459-514) and index. |
Summary |
Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction. |
Contents |
A catastrophic failure of prediction -- Are you smarter than a television pundit? -- All I care about is W's and L's -- For years you've been telling us that rain is green -- Desperately seeking signal -- How to drown in three feet of water -- Role models -- Less and less and less wrong -- Rage against the machines -- The poker bubble -- If you can't beat 'em -- A climate of healthy skepticism -- What you don't know can hurt you. |
Subject |
Forecasting.
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Forecasting -- Methodology.
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Forecasting -- History.
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Bayesian statistical decision theory.
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Knowledge, Theory of.
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ISBN |
9781594204111 hardback $27.95 |
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159420411X hardback |
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