| Edition |
First edition. |
| Description |
viii, 302 pages : illustrations ; 22 cm |
| Bibliography |
Includes bibliographical references (pages [271]-294) and index. |
| Contents |
The outguessing machine -- The randomness experiment. The zenith broadcast ; How to outguess rock, paper, scissors ; How to outguess multiple-choice tests ; How to outguess the lottery ; How to outguess tennis serves ; How to outguess baseball and football ; How to outguess soccer penalty kicks ; How to outguess card games ; How to outguess passwords ; How to outguess crowd-sourced ratings ; How to outguess fake numbers ; How to outguess manipulated numbers ; How to outguess Ponzi schemes -- The hot hand theory. In the zone ; How to outguess basketball bracket pools ; How to outguess office football pools ; How to outguess Oscar pools ; How to outguess big data ; How to outguess retail prices ; How to outguess home prices ; How to outguess the future ; How to outguess the stock market -- Fortune's wheel. |
| Summary |
"Rock breaks scissors is based on a simple principle: people are unable to act randomly. Instead they display unconscious patterns that the savvy person can outguess. The principle applies to friends playing rock, paper, scissors for a bar tab as well as to the crowds that create markets for homes and stocks. With a gift for distilling psychology and behavioral economics into accessible advice, Poundstone proves that outguessing is easy, fun, and often profitable"--Dust jacket flap. |
| Subject |
Probabilities.
|
|
Cognitive psychology.
|
|
Forecasting.
|
|
Prediction (Psychology)
|
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Choice (Psychology)
|
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Human behavior.
|
| ISBN |
0316228060 |
|
9780316228060 |
|
