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Author Lempert, Robert J.

Title Shaping the next one hundred years : new methods for quantitative, long-term policy analysis and bibliography / Robert J. Lempert, Steven W. Popper, Steven C. Bankes.

Publication Info. Santa Monica, CA : RAND, 2003.

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Description 1 online resource (xxi, 187 pages)
data file rda
Note "MR-1626."
Print version record.
Summary The checkered history of predicting the future-e.g., "Man will never fly"--Has dissuaded policymakers from considering the long-term effects of decisions. New analytic methods, enabled by modern computers, transform our ability to reason about the future. The authors here demonstrate a quantitative approach to long-term policy analysis (LTPA). Robust methods enable decisionmakers to examine a vast range of futures and design adaptive strategies to be robust across them. Using sustainable development as an example, the authors discuss how these methods apply to LTPA and a wide range of decis.
Subject System analysis.
Decision making.
Information technology.
POLITICAL SCIENCE -- Public Policy -- General.
TRANSPORTATION -- General.
Decision making. (OCoLC)fst00889035
Information technology. (OCoLC)fst00973089
System analysis. (OCoLC)fst01141385
Indexed Term Samfundsvidenskab Politologi.
Added Author Popper, Steven W., 1953-
Bankes, Steven C.
Other Form: Print version: Lempert, Robert J. Shaping the next one hundred years. Santa Monica, CA : RAND, 2003 (DLC) 2003012438
ISBN 0833034855 (electronic bk.)
9780833034854 (electronic bk.)
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