| Edition |
2nd ed. |
| Description |
xviii, 786 pages ; 23 cm. |
| Series |
Cambridge series on judgment and decision making |
|
Cambridge series on judgment and decision making.
|
| Bibliography |
Includes bibliographical references and indexes. |
| Contents |
Part I. Introduction and Overview -- Multiattribute evaluation / W. Edwards and J.R. Newman -- Judgment under uncertainty : heuristics and biases / A. Tversky and D. Kahneman -- Coherence and correspondence theories in judgment and decision making / K.R. Hammond -- Enhancing diagnostic decisions / J.A. Swets -- Part II. Applications in Public Policy -- Illusions and mirages in public policy / R.H. Thaler -- The psychology of sunk cost / H.R. Arkes and C. Blumer -- Value-focused thinking about strategic decisions at BC Hydro / R.L. Keeney and T.L. McDaniels -- Making better use of scientific knowledge : separating truth from Justice / K.R. Hammond, L.O. Harvey and R. Hastie -- Part III. Applications in Economics -- Choices, values and frames / D. Kahneman and A. Tversky -- Who uses cost-benefit rules of choice? Implications for the normative status of microeconomic theory / R.P. Larrick, R.E. Nisbett and J.N. Morgan -- Does studying economics inhibit cooperation? / R.H. Frank, T. Gilovich and D.T. Regan -- Part IV. Legal Applications -- Capturing policy in hearing-aid decisions by audiologists / J. Doyle and S.A. Thomas -- Physicians' use of probabilistic information in a real clinical setting / J.J.J. Christensen-Szalanski and J.B. Bushyhead -- On the elicitation of preferences for alternative therapies / B.J. McNeil [and others] -- Enhanced interpretation of diagnostic images / D.J. Getty [and others] -- Part VI. Experts -- Reducing the influence of irrelevant information on experienced decision makers / G.J. Gaeth and J. Shanteau -- Expert judgment : some necessary conditions and an example / H.J. Einhorn -- The expert witness in psychology and psychiatry / D. Faust and J. Ziskin -- Part VII. Forecasting and Prediction -- What forecast (seems to) mean / B. Fischhoff -- Proper and improper linear models / R.M. Dawes -- Seven components of judgmental forecasting skill / T.R. Stewart and C.M. Lusk -- Part VIII. Bargaining and negotiation -- The judgment policies of negotiators and the structure of negotiation problems / J.L. Mumpower -- The effect of agents and mediators on negotiation outcomes / M.H. Bazerman [and others] -- Part IX. Risk -- Risk within reason / R.J. Zeckhauser and W.K. Viscusi -- Risk perception and communication / B. Fischhoff, A. Bostrom and M.J. Quadrel -- Perceived risk trust and democracy / P. Slovic -- Part X. Research Methods -- Value elicitation : is there anything in there? / B. Fischhoff -- The overconfidence phenomenon as a consequence of informal experimenter-guided selection of almanac items / P. Juslin -- The a priori case against graphology : methodological and conceptual issues / M. Bar-Hillel and G. Ben-Shakhar -- Part XI. Critiques and New Directions I -- The two camps on rationality / H. Jungermann -- On cognitive illusions and their implications / W. Edwards and D. von Winterfeldt -- Reasoning the fast and frugal way: models of bounded rationality / G. Gigerenzer and D.G. Goldstein -- Judgment and decision making in social context: discourse processes and rational inference / D.J. Hilton and B.R. Slugoski -- Part XII. Critiques and New Directions II -- Why we still use our heads instead of formulas / B. Kleinmuntz -- Nonconsequentialist decisions / J. Baron -- Algebra and process in the modelling of risky choice / L.L. Lopes -- The theory of image theory : an examination of the central conceptual structure / T. Connolly and L.R. Beach. |
| Summary |
"Researchers in a growing number of fields - public policy, law, business, medicine, psychology, engineering, and others - are working to understand and improve human judgment and decision making. This book, which presupposes no formal training, brings together a selection of key articles in the area, with careful organization, introductions, and commentaries. Issues include medical diagnosis, weather forecasting, labor negotiations, risk, public policy, business strategy, eyewitness testimony, and more." "This is a revised edition of the 1986 collection of papers, Judgment and Decision Making, edited by Hal Arkes and Ken Hammond. The focus of this updated and extended volume is interdisciplinary and applied. The papers selected are scientific in nature, but chosen to appeal to the scholar, student, and layperson alike."--Jacket. |
| Subject |
Decision making.
|
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Judgment.
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Decision making. (OCoLC)fst00889035
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Judgment. (OCoLC)fst00984572
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Besliskunde.
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Meningsvorming.
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Entscheidungsfindung. (DE-588)4113446-1
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Entscheidungsverhalten. (DE-588)4113448-5
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Psychologie. (DE-588)4047704-6
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Urteilen. (DE-588)4078671-7
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Entscheidungsprozess. (DE-588)4121202-2
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Interdisziplinäre Forschung. (DE-588)4027274-6
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Kognitiver Prozess. (DE-588)4140177-3
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Entscheidungsprozess.
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Interdisziplinäre Forschung.
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Kognitiver Prozess.
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Urteilen.
|
| Genre/Form |
Judgment.
|
| Added Author |
Connolly, Terry.
|
|
Arkes, Hal R., 1945-
|
|
Hammond, Kenneth R.
|
| ISBN |
0521623553 (hardcover) |
|
9780521623551 (hardcover) |
|
0521626021 (paperback) |
|
9780521626026 (paperback) |
|
0521625021 |
|
